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BW: iPhone's Failure Rate is Low

Manufacturing a device as complex as the Apple iPhone in large quantities entails the statistics of engineering failure. However, the iPhone failure rate appears to be much smaller than the industry standards, and Apple will continue to improve it, according to Business Week on Thursday.

"What's important about bugs or glitches in any new product, annoying as they may be, is what the manufacturer learns from each individual episode and what's done about it to ensure that it doesn't recur," Arik Hesseldalh wrote.

Despite few reported problems, users who do have problems can make a fuss on the Internet, and that gets the news organizations salivating all out of proportion to the problem.

The BW author, with the help of iSuppli, took a close look at just one part of the iPhone, the multi-layer display, which is quite complex. "I don't know exactly how they were manufactured, but no amount of prying or scraping could get [two of the layers] apart," said Andrew Rassweiler of iSuppli.

Despite the iPhone's complexity, the author's informal estimate of the failure rate puts the number at something less than 1 percent. Another iSuppli employee, Jagdish Rebello, said that it's not uncommon to see failure rates of 3 to 4 percent, especially when a product is new.

"What's important is that the failure rate goes down over time. As products mature, and the understanding of the various pitfalls in the manufacturing process improves, Mr. Rebello said, the failure rate drops in most cases to 1% or less. We don't know the actual failure rate on the iPhone. Apple isn't in the habit of releasing such data, mainly because it's not material to earnings," Mr. Hesseldahl concluded.

That's the key to understanding Apple's approach. They look at the overall statistics, not the juicy headlines, and work to learn from their mistakes.

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A guest said: (hide)

That's basically a lie with the headline on this article John. You are making a claim with absolutely zero evidence. This blog post doesn't even quote any real numbers before making up the 1% figure. "Even if we were to assume that for every person who has posted about problems on a Web forum there were 1,000 more, the total number of glitchy iPhones would still be in the ballpark of 1% of the 1 million iPhones Apple says it will sell by the end of September." Where did he get the number of people who have posted on the internet about problems with their iPhones, and how did he only find 10? Fuzzy math, fuzzy logic, fuzzy conclusions. Horrible reporting!

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j.martellaro said:

member since 07 Dec 2006 with 97 posts, TMO Staff, send him a message or view his profile

It wasn't me that made the claim. I was reporting on what Mr. Hesseldahl said in his informal estimate. Note the precursor "BW:" in the headline where I attribute the statement to the source, Business Week.

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A guest said: (hide)

Ha ha! Back to reading comprehension class for you, first guest!

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A guest said: (hide)

OK, I am not going to argue, but simply share my experiences. I live in Arvada, a suburb of Denver, CO. I bought an iphone from the FlatIron Crossing Apple Store on June 30th, and had to return it minutes later because there was dust under the screen. Then I had the well-known audio problems of the speaker cutting out. ANother issue was the lack of volume when using speaker phone. So I went back to the Apple Store to show them these 2 issues and my phone was half the volume of 2 other iPhones, so they sent it off for repair, lending me a loaner. Good service. So I am now on my 3rd iPhone. Then comes the iPhone update from 2 days ago, completely hosed my phone requiring a lengthy restoration process which thankfully worked.

If my experiences are the norm, then I am not sure how that correlates with the article.

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Intruder said:

member since 07 Jul 2004 with 3149 posts, TMO Mac Specialist, send him a message or view his profile

I strongly suspect your experiences are not the norm. Unfortunate? Yes. Normal? No.

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A guest said: (hide)

Even with a 1% failure rate there are going to be tens of thousands of flawed iPhones.

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Intruder said:

member since 07 Jul 2004 with 3149 posts, TMO Mac Specialist, send him a message or view his profile

Anonymous wrote:
Even with a 1% failure rate there are going to be tens of thousands of flawed iPhones.

True once the number of iPhones becomes more significant.

There is no such thing as a perfect consumer product. There will be failures. And 1% would be an OUTSTANDING failure rate.

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leandermx said:

member since 11 May 1978 with 43716 posts, Guest, send him a message or view his profile

At least, my iphone works well for me. I've never used such a great "iPod" before.

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A guest said: (hide)

j.martellaro wrote:
It wasn't me that made the claim. I was reporting on what Mr. Hesseldahl said in his informal estimate. Note the precursor "BW:" in the headline where I attribute the statement to the source, Business Week.

Is it not important to call out the fact that the numbers being used in the quotes you providing are not based on any actual data? Using words like "informal estimate" makes it seem as if there was some actual research done in creating these numbers. Looking at the BW article it is clear that the original author, whose work you have chosen to repeat in order to expand its audience, simply made up the numbers and did not provide any real data. To me, repeating another person's fiction as a news article is very bad reporting. It is especially ironic that you conclude with "[t]hey look at the overall statistics, not the juicy headlines," when all you are doing is repeating a juicy headline with beyond dubious statistics. This is not responsible reporting.

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