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Rubicon Survey Suggests iPhone Displacing Notebooks

iPhones are displacing notebooks for some, and a third of iPhone users carry two iPhones, according to a survey released on Tuesday by Rubicon Consulting of Los Gatos, Calif.

According to the author, Michael Mace, the key findings were as follows:

  • One quarter of users say it's displacing their notebook.
  • One third of iPhone users carry a second phone. Composing e-mail is one use.
  • iPhone E-mail is the #1 function, but reading not writing.
  • About half the iPhone users are under age 30.
  • Three quarters of iPhone users were previous Apple customers.
  • About half the iPhone users changed carriers to get it.
  • As a result, AT&T's gamble paid off and the iPhone is estimated to have increased AT&T's gross service revenue by about US$2B.
  • iPhone users are very satisfied and use its features extensively.
  • The iPhone has led users to more mobile browsing.

When AT&T and Apple announced their partnership, some in the industry said that AT&T gave up too many concessions to Apple. "The terms of the Apple-AT&T deal have not been released to the public, so it is impossible to judge its precise effect on AT&T. But based on the findings of our study, it looks very likely that AT&T made a good decision."

The report also assessed other maker's ability to compete with the iPhone. "Apple’s type of product design is incredibly difficult for most other companies to imitate, because they don’t have expertise in tying together OS, user interface, online services, and hardware design. The path to success in smartphones is clear, but it’s not clear how many companies have the skills to walk it," Mr. Mace wrote.

Regarding the future, the report said to look for new form factors and noted that nearly half of iPhone purchasers had some request for a physical change: making it bigger, smaller, or adding a keyboard or keypad.

Finally, the report was critical of the relationship between Apple and Adobe regarding Flash, and stated that the feud needs to come to an end before another competitor uses it as leverage against the iPhone.

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Sir Harry Flashman said:

member since 08 Feb 2007 with 792 posts, unranked, send him a message or view his profile

"Finally, the report was critical of the relationship between Apple and Adobe regarding Flash, and stated that the feud needs to come to an end before another competitor uses it as leverage against the iPhone."

I whole heartedly agree and I hope that Adobe sees the light, but not Silverlight, and pulls Flash from the market.

Seriously, well actually I was being serious, but for other than sending some email, composing memos, and similar light work an iPhone can not replace a MacBook. By the time you include an external keyboard, mouse/trackpad, monitor magnifier and other things that are needed to do serious work you may as well at least carry a MacBook Air. This is not to say that at some point in the future we won't see a gadget the size of an iPhone that unfolds into a full size keyboard and monitor; We already have the necessary flexible components and all it would take is someone with the skills to put them into a package.

Stuff changes, I remember the time before transistors, a time when tubes were a beauty.

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A guest said: (hide)

Impressive research. Lately I have seen a few people with two iPhone, usually talking on one while reading email or looking at a web site on the other.

As for Flash, I really wish I knew what Apple's problem was. More and more web sites are doing very good things with Flash, and Apple is missing the boat on this if they continue to exclude it.

As for size and such, I figure Apple will come out with different sizes and configurations for the iPhone much like they did for the iPod. I personally would really like something roughly twice as big and with a keyboard that either folds out or plugs in (a good third-party device would work) but that's because I take a lot of notes and the Macbook Air, for all it's sexy lightweight design, is still too big for me to haul around all over the place.

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ctopher said:

member since 25 Aug 2006 with 134 posts, unranked, send him a message or view his profile

Flash is the mark of the beast.

What can you do with Flash that you cannot do with HTML?

Oh, Sound? Video? Flashy things? The very things I dislike about web browsing these days? No thanks.

I think the lack of Flash on the iPhone may make those technologies go away. That's what I'd like to see. No Silverlight, no Flash, just HTML and MPEG video, CSS, XML, good stuff man good stuff. Not fluff that I can't print to show someone!

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Tiger said:

member since 17 Jun 2003 with 1018 posts, unranked, send him a message or view his profile

I'm so with you ctopher.

I LOATHE Flash.

It's not whether you "can" do something. Flash can do lots of things.

It's whether you should. And 99% of the time, the answer is NO! Some Webmasters have lost any sense of self-restraint when it comes to over-designing their sites.

Quicker is easier, if it takes more than 15 seconds to load your site, even on a 1G LAN, I'm gone. You lose me as a customer.

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JonGl said:

member since 12 Jan 2006 with 113 posts, unranked, send him a message or view his profile

ctopher wrote:
Flash is the mark of the beast.

What can you do with Flash that you cannot do with HTML?

Lock the user out of access to the media, other than simply playing. Notice that it seems that all media players now are flash-based (at least the ones on YouTube and the blogs I read...) And sites like seeqpod also use Flash to bury the actual media away from the user. That is why, I suspect, that flash has become so popular--of course, those determined people can always get at the content, but it sure reduces casual downloading of content--a lazy-man's DRM?

-Jon

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